Draghi To Be Dull; Sell EUR/USD On Any Bullish Reaction - BofA MerrillDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 19:51:42 +0000
We expect Draghi this week to try to avoid any expectations on further policy changes. The dominant theme in Europe recently has been the acceleration in inflation and real economic activity
AUD/NZD: 2 Reasons To Sell Any Rallies Above 1.05 - Deutsche BankDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 18:31:10 +0000
We remain bearish on AUD/NZD. First, New Zealand is enjoying a more fundamentally robust commodity rally, especially in dairy.
EUR: ECB To Strike A Dovish Balance On Thurs; Market Neutral - SEBDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 16:54:02 +0000
Having already mapped its monetary policy course for full 2017 at its last meeting in 2016 (8 Dec), the ECB is most unlikely to deliver any further policy adjustments at the upcoming, first Governing Council meeting in the new year on 19 January.
EUR/USD: No ECB Surprises; Further Upside Into 1.09 A Selling Opportunity - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 15:59:26 +0000
In line with consensus expectations we see limited scope for ECB surprises. If anything, central bank President Draghi should defend a more dovish stance in light of still muted core price
Jan BoC: No Surprise; Nothing For Markets To Chew On - CIBCDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 15:24:23 +0000
To no surprise, there were no surprises from the Bank of Canada today, as politics aside, the world was unfolding as they expected.
GBP: Hard Brexit Fears Peaked N-Term; Scope For Further GBP Gains Vs EUR - BTMUDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 14:56:05 +0000
The pound got caught up in a big position squeeze yesterday which resulted in cable rising sharply by around 3%.
Short EUR/GBP Tactically Here & Re-Sell GBP/USD On Further Bounces - SocGenDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 14:37:19 +0000
There is more caution on the dollar today ahead of Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s speech. This is one of two speeches by Yellen scheduled this week before Trump’s inauguration on Friday.
GBP: A Classic 'Buy The Rumor, Sell The Fact'; Bounces A M-Term Sell - TDDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 14:05:58 +0000
Clarity from Theresa May over the UK’s Brexit stance helped sterling to consolidate. Indeed, the comments showed that the UK has no interest in partial membership. Instead, the comments underscore
Trading The BoC - Views From 10 Major BanksDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 06:03:56 +0000
We expect CAD to outperform other commodity currencies. CAD is not as vulnerable as MXN to trade protectionism given a prior free trade agreement which would take effect if the US backs out of NAFTA
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 05:23:55 +0000
As noted in recent updates, we expect EUR to remain supported in the short-term as long as 1.0500 is intact. Upward momentum has improved further with the move above last week’s peak of 1.0684 and from
Preview: Fed Speaks: Fed Kashkari, Fed YellenDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 05:10:40 +0000
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (FOMC non-voter) speaks: Minneapolis Federal Reserve President Kashkari speaks on the economy.
Preview: US: CPI, IP - Barclays, BofA Merrill, SEBDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 04:46:47 +0000
Preview: US: CPI, IP - Barclays, BofA Merrill, SEB
CAD: BoC On Hold; Staying Long USD/CAD Via Options - BNPPDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 02:34:51 +0000
The market is currently pricing in unchanged policy by the Bank of Canada (BoC) at its meeting on Wednesday.
GBP: Two-Way Risks Have Returned To Sterling - ANZDate Published: Wed, 18 Jan 2017 00:23:20 +0000
Sterling responded well to PM Theresa May’s speech outlining the objectives that the UK hopes to achieve from the forthcoming Brexit negotiations.
GBP: Where To Target GBP Squeeze In GBP/USD & EUR/GBP? - NABDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 23:15:39 +0000
For GBP we suspect there may be some additional limited upside near-term as investors get squeezed and adjust to the PM's clearer strategy,
USD/JPY: To Stay 'Firmly' In 110-115 Range During For Some Time - Deutsche BankDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 21:52:53 +0000
The USD/JPY entered a correction phase in the two-month "Trump rally" since the US presidential election.
GBP: 4 Reasons Behind This Temp Squeeze & Why You Should Fade it - SEBDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 19:33:37 +0000
In her speech today PM Theresa May outlined 12 key objectives in negotiating the exit deal for the UK. She has already realised that being part of the single market is not an option as long as the
GBP: 12 Key Points Of Brexit Plan; Implications For GBP Outlook - BTMUDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 16:18:22 +0000
1) PM May views the Brexit vote as a vote to restore parliamentary democracy and for Britain to become even more internationalist. “It was the moment we chose to build a truly global Britain”.
USD/JPY: Downside Risk Towards 110-112, US CPI Main Data Point Ahead - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 15:10:45 +0000
We believe caution remains warranted and risk sensitive pairs such as USD/JPY may face more downside risks from here. According to our FX positioning update, published yesterday, speculative JPY short positioning remains close to multi-year extremes.
USD: A DejA Of 2016; EUR/USD A Sell On A Rally Into 1.08 - SocGenDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 14:37:02 +0000
It has been a bad start to the day and year for the dollar. The correction in relative real yields continues and is dragging the dollar lower. Below are charts of EUR/USD and USD/JPY against relative
Short EUR/JPY On A Squeeze, Short AUD/JPY At Current Levels - TDDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 14:01:20 +0000
A possible shift to a less risk friendly backdrop would favor a rotation in the G10. The best performing currencies year-to-date are AUD, NZD and JPY, which we think is more about broad-based
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, USD/JPY - UOBDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 05:17:14 +0000
There is no change to the current view wherein we expect EUR to remain supported in the short-term as long as 1.0500 is intact. However, it is unclear at this stage if EUR can move higher in a sustained manner
USD: Vulnerable S/T On 3 Factors But Dips To Stay Short & Shallow - TDDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 04:14:20 +0000
The greenback is down for the third week in a row following nearly two months of steady gains. This drawdown could persist for now, owing to a few factors.
Preview: Fed Speaks: Fed Dudley, Fed WilliamsDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 03:24:55 +0000
New York Fed President Dudley (FOMC voter) speaks: New York Federal Reserve President Dudley will speak on consumer behavior. Although not directly related to monetary policy, his views on the evolution
Trading The USD Shift - Morgan StanleyDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 02:43:48 +0000
The USD may replace its reflation related bid with safe haven related demand. This scenario suggests the JPY staying correctively strong for now,gaining on many crosses, while GBP and high yielding currencies may be hit as political and currency related concerns increase.
USD/CAD: BoC On Hold This Week; Fade Any Hawkish Reaction - RBSDate Published: Tue, 17 Jan 2017 01:47:44 +0000
We expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to leave the benchmark overnight rate steady at 0.5% at the January meeting. We have long felt that the risks of outright easing in Canada are underpriced.
Trading The American Dream: Sell EUR/USD Targeting 0.95 - Deutsche BankDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 20:01:00 +0000
We expect the dollar to continue to strengthen over 2017 – corporate tax reform; potential hawkish Fed appointments; fiscal stimulus; the dollar’s status as a high-yielder all favour continued gains throughout the year.
USD/JPY: 'Trump Trade' Running Out Of Legs: What's Next? - NABDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 18:27:55 +0000
The partial unwind of the so called “Trump trade” seen over the past few weeks has in part been driven by concerns that the expectation of higher US growth and inflation has gone too far. Meanwhile the
USD/CAD: Attractive Risk-Reward For New Longs At Current Levels - TDDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 16:52:46 +0000
Notably, the dollar bloc currencies are the best performers in the G10 since the start of the year. This reflects the pickup in commodity prices but also a general squeeze in positioning. Most of the indicators
Citi Trade Of The Week: Buy AUD/USDDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 16:25:23 +0000
Currency investors should consider buying AUD/USD this week, advises CitiFX in its weekly FX pick to clients.
GBP: Limited Downside Vs USD; More Downside Vs JPY - Credit AgricoleDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 15:20:15 +0000
The GBP has been under pressure, since a press conference by Theresa May scheduled for Tuesday is once again increasing fears over the UK being headed for a hard Brexit. According to the Sunday times PM May
GBP: Close To Reach A Low Point N-Term - BTMUDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 15:01:32 +0000
The pound has weakened sharply early in the Asian trading session resulting in cable breaking below the 1.2000-level for the first time since the flash crash on the 7th October before recovering slighly back the
USD: In This Choppy Market, Long USD & Walk Away - SocGenDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 14:00:45 +0000
The Eurozone has seen DBRS downgrade Italy’s rating, removing the last remaining single-A rating from the country. That will have implications for the haircut on Italian debt posted as collateral with the ECB. It’s only
Tech Targets: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, NZD/USD - UOBDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 05:00:08 +0000
EUR registered an ‘inside day’ last Friday and there is no change to our view wherein we deem the short-term outlook as ‘positive’ as long as the key 1.0500 support is intact. However, it is unclear at this stage if
US Border Tax: A 'Big Deal' For USD & AUD - NABDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 04:16:59 +0000
Since Donald Trump’s election victory, speculation has intensified that a proposal for a socalled border adjustment tax would feature in the new Trump administration’s planned overhaul of the corporate tax regime.
The 5 Stages Of The Trump Trade - Deutsche BankDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 03:02:56 +0000
There are probably five defining stages for the “Trump trade”: Trading i) ‘the promise’; ii) the deal-making; iii) the enactment; iv) the economic impact, and, v) the payback.
USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, CAD, AUD, NZD: Weekly Outlook - Morgan StanleyDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 01:50:45 +0000
We believe the current USD correction is of a positioning adjustment nature and remain structurally bullish on the USD. Therefore, we use the USD dip to add long positions to our portfolio. US data has
USD: Still A Momentum Trade; Selling EUR/USD Via Options - BNPPDate Published: Mon, 16 Jan 2017 00:25:07 +0000
The USD has struggled to extend its gains in the first weeks of the new year. Market participants appear wary of committing too aggressively to a consensus trade so early in the year, particularly given the
AUD: 'Out Of The Gate' But Time For Bulls To Take Some Gains - CIBCDate Published: Sun, 15 Jan 2017 23:21:13 +0000
The Australian dollar has been the clear winner over the first fortnight of the year, with stronger iron ore, copper, and coal prices pushing the currency to the top of the
IMM Report: Investors Maintained Their Short Positions In All Currencies Vs USDDate Published: Sun, 15 Jan 2017 22:35:03 +0000
This week’s changes in sentiment were relatively limited as investors maintained their existing short positions in all currencies vs. the USD. Risk was reduced in JPY, CAD, and AUD as
USDCAD ; GRUDE 15.01.2017
- Published on Sunday, 15 January 2017 12:01
- Written by jssj
Трябва да видим на дневна графика затваряне под 1.3080 или дори 1.3000, за да се надяваме на възобновяване на мечия тренд. Ако това не се случи вероятно върха 1.3600 ще бъде обновен, а цената може да качи до следващата зона за реакция около 1.3700.
Директна корелация с петрола според мен може да се прави, защото разговорите за сега се въртят около това дали цената му ще се качи до 60-65$ където да се включат и шистоваците.След това обаче вероятно ще имаме отново спад.Предполагам,че едно покачване на цената ще се използва от големите спекуланти за акумулиране на къси.
13.08.2016 Как торгуют крупные банки? Результаты
- Published on Saturday, 13 August 2016 19:32
- Written by forex.pf
На нашем информационном ресурсе мы публикуем большое количество рекомендаций и собственных валютных сделок широкого круга банков с мировым именем. Как нам кажется, читателю будет весьма интересно обладать статистической информацией результатов таких рекомендаций и сделок. Мы постараемся ее периодически публиковать, расширяя со временем список банков, по которым будет собрана статистика.
Примечание ProFinance.ru: Никому, кроме собственного торгового деска, доподлинно не известен абсолютно точный открытый портфель банка. Здесь собрана статистика именно по тем сделкам и рекомендациям, которые стали известны нам. Мы оперативно публикуем информацию по открытию/закрытию позиций и передвижению приказов на ограничение прибыли/убытка. Наши наблюдения за рекомендациями банков показывают, что они в превалирующем большинстве зарабатывают в тренде. Коридорная торговля дается им не легко. Более того, банки не столь оперативно управляют открытыми позициями. Нередко, угадав динамику развития валютного курса, банки не передвигают стоп приказ на ограничение убытка, что могло бы существенно улучшить статистические результаты.